It’s that time of year again. Here is a selection, in no way comprehensive, of what seem to be the more interesting and reasonable trends and predictions for 2009. At least, they can’t do any worse than Sir William Preece, Chief Engineer of the Post Office who said in 1878:

“The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys.”


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First up, green/sustainable innovation and technology.

InfoWorld has gathered several IT leaders to make their predictions in this area. One of the more interesting predictions is by Robert Aldrich, director of datacenter solutions at Cisco who believes:

The first generation of IP-based energy management applications will be released from many major IT vendors.

As well as noting the energy wastefulness of sloppy code, which should make all developers sit up, Lewis Curtis, infrastructure architect and advisor at Microsoft predicts:

In 2009, competition will increase for the green cloud. Who is the greenest cloud provider for your applications and solutions? Which cloud providers will report environmental metrics and provide concrete green operational level agreements for enterprises which you can use for verification in your own environmental reporting? Currently, we don’t know how cloud providers will compete with green services. However, by the end of 2009, I predict we’ll start finding out some answers.

Nathanel Whittmore at Change.org has an interesting round-up of 2008, including carbon neutral websites, and makes some predictions for 2009. What he makes clear is how important the new Obama administration will be in impacting this area in the US.

Trendspotting has put together two lovely slide shows on their predictions for social media and mobile:

(Via Reportr.net)

Over at CNET Matt Roscoff has put together a selection of Music Technology trends including:

  • Zune phone–sort of
  • $99 iPhone
  • RIM will get music right
  • The Big Four will become the Big Three
  • Sony will surprise
  • A big online music store will fail
  • One major act will (temporarily) abandon albums

More and details here

Finally,
ReadWriteWeb has a lovely selection from their writers. I like Sarah Perez’s predictions in particular, which have the added joy of being short and snappy. Delights include:

  • Twitter announces they have a plan to make money. They do.
  • Digg still not acquired by anyone
  • Google Chrome adds plugins…one of them is a Google plugin that lets you integrate Google Mail, Reader, & other Google products/services right into the browser
  • Google backlash begins
  • Apple backlash does not

UPDATE (2/01/09): @ixtlan has pointed out the prediction that the internet will experience an exaflood (a traffic overload) is doing the rounds. This is analysed over at the Economist.

2 Comments

  1. I loved Julian Glover’s one in The Guardian a few days ago:

    http://nevertrustahippy.blogspot.com/2009/01/age-of-depoliticised-power-will-come-to.html

  2. I can totally see why you liked that comment/wishful thinking. I think sometimes the predictions that are a bit buried are often the ones that a writer most holds dear. It’s a bit like the one above that was mentioned in passing about developers writing neater code – simple to action, or so you’d think.

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